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4DMedical Limited

4DX.AX
25
Medical - Devices · Healthcare
Price
A$3.83
-0.19 (-4.73%)
Market Cap
A$2.30B
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
25
Winston is worried
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Based on the IPO prospectus (annual filing). This score will refine automatically once the company reports its first quarters.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Dec 31, 2025
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Good
Valuation
Data not available

Share count falling — buybacks

17.8% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 261.4M (2021) → 214.8M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

4DMedical is an Australian medical technology company that makes software for lung imaging. Its main product, called XV Technology, turns standard CT scans into detailed moving pictures that show how air flows through the lungs — something traditional scans cannot do. The technology is used by hospitals and radiology clinics to help doctors diagnose lung diseases like COPD and asthma more accurately.

The company earns revenue by charging healthcare providers to use its software, primarily through a fee-per-scan model rather than selling hardware. 4DMedical operates mainly in Australia and the United States, where it has received FDA clearance — a significant regulatory milestone that opens the door to the large US hospital market. The company is still early-stage and currently loses money on each dollar of revenue, so its main challenge is scaling adoption fast enough to reach profitability before it needs to raise more capital.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-50.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+73.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

A$3M/ year

Declining (-49% vs prior year)

42.8% of revenue

2.4x the sector average (18%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

26.2%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

~2 months

A$7M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

4DMedical Limited has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
92.1%
Premium pricing power — 92.1% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
-811.5%
Losing money on operations — -811.5%
Return on the money invested
ROCE
-72.7%
Weak — -72.7% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+55.9%
Fast-growing sales (+55.9% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
N/A
Data not available

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-590.4%
Burning cash (-590.4%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.02
Conservative — low debt load (0.02)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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