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American Financial Group

AFG
54
Insurance - Property & Casualty · Financial Services
Price
$143.70
+0.05 (+0.03%)
Market Cap
$11.94B
Winston Score
54
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Good

Share count falling — buybacks

2.5% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 85.6M (2021) → 83.5M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

American Financial Group is an insurance company based in Cincinnati, Ohio. It sells specialty property and casualty insurance, which means it covers unusual or complex risks that standard insurers often avoid. Its main customers are businesses, not individuals — think farms, transportation companies, and manufacturers who need coverage for specific equipment, crops, or liability.

The company makes money by collecting insurance premiums from policyholders and investing that cash while waiting to pay out claims. AFG operates mostly in the United States and has a market value of around $10.7 billion. Its competitive edge comes from focusing on niche commercial markets where it has deep expertise and less direct competition from large generalist insurers. The main risk the business faces is a spike in large insurance claims — from natural disasters or economic disruptions — which can quickly erode profits, since the company must pay out more than it collected in premiums.

Politician Trades

7 trades / 12mo

3 Congressional buys and 4 sells on AFG in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
16.7%
Thin — 16.7% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
16.7%
Healthy — 16.7% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
18.5%
Strong — 18.5% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-0.9%
Shrinking sales (-0.9% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-7.6%
Earnings shrinking (-7.6% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
175%
Turns 175% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
19.1%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (19.1%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.38
Conservative — low debt load (0.38)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
13.78x
Comfortably covers interest (13.8x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
12.6x
Attractive valuation — P/E 12.6

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+0.1
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
4.82%
Healthy income — 4.82% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-7.6%
Dividend cut (-7.6% YoY) — warning sign

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