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Air Canada

AC.TO
23
Airlines, Airports & Air Services · Industrials
Exchange
Toronto Stock Exchange
Winston Score
23
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Strong

Winston Score History

The full picture

Air Canada is Canada's largest airline and its flag carrier. It flies passengers and cargo to destinations across Canada, the United States, Europe, Asia, and beyond — serving both everyday travelers and business customers. The airline also owns Air Canada Vacations, a package holiday business, and operates Air Canada Rouge, a lower-cost leisure brand.

The company makes money primarily by selling plane tickets, with additional revenue from cargo shipping, loyalty program partnerships through Aeroplan, and travel packages. It operates a large hub-and-spoke network centered on Toronto, Montreal, and Vancouver, giving it a strong grip on Canadian air travel that foreign carriers cannot easily replicate due to ownership rules. However, airlines are a tough business — thin margins, high fuel costs, and sensitivity to economic downturns mean that a recession or a spike in oil prices could quickly pressure profitability, which remains modest despite a post-pandemic recovery in travel demand.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+11.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

-208.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

0.0%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

5+ years

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

C$7.0B cash & investments at current burn rate

Growth context

Air Canada is growing revenue at 11% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
19.5%
Thin — 19.5% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
-3.4%
Losing money on operations — -3.4%
Return on the money invested
ROCE
4.2%
Weak — 4.2% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+5.6%
Slow sales growth (+5.6% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-65.7%
Earnings shrinking (-65.7% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
3/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
857%
Turns 857% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
4.3%
Thin free cash flow (4.3%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
3.52
Heavy debt load (3.52)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
0.89x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.9x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
20.3x
Growth-priced — P/E 20.3

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+9.0
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (20.3 → 11.3)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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