Alcoa Corporation (AAI.AX) Stock Analysis & Winston Score
Alcoa is one of the largest aluminum companies in the world. It mines bauxite, refines it into alumina, and then smelts alumina into aluminum metal. Its customers include manufacturers in the aerospace, automotive, packaging, and construction industries who use aluminum to make planes, cars, cans, and buildings. Alcoa makes money by selling alumina and aluminum as commodities, meaning prices fluctuate with global supply and demand. The company operates mines, refineries, and smelters across Australia, Brazil, Iceland, Norway, Spain, and the United States, generating roughly $10–11 billion in annual revenue. Its competitive position comes partly from owning large, low-cost bauxite deposits and integrated operations from mine to metal. The biggest risk Alcoa faces is aluminum price volatility — when prices fall, margins shrink quickly, as the thin gross margin of around 13% already shows. Energy costs are also a major expense, since smelting aluminum requires enormous amounts of electricity.
Winston Score: 57/100 — Good
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
- Quality: Good (17/30)
- Growth: Strong (15/20)
- Cash Flow: Good (6/10)
- Stability: Exceptional (9/10)
- Valuation: Strong (7/10)
- Ownership: Weak (2/15)

