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Allison Transmission Holdings

ALSN
55
Auto - Parts · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$133.23
+4.11 (+3.18%)
Market Cap
$11.05B
Winston Score
55
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Mixed

Share count falling — buybacks

20.6% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 107.0M (2021) → 85.0M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Allison Transmission makes automatic transmissions for large vehicles like buses, garbage trucks, military vehicles, and construction equipment. The company does not make transmissions for regular passenger cars — it focuses almost entirely on heavy-duty commercial and defense vehicles. Allison is the largest manufacturer of fully automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles in the world.

The company sells its transmissions to vehicle manufacturers, who then build them into finished trucks and equipment sold to governments, cities, and businesses. Most revenue comes from North America, but Allison also sells in Europe, Asia, and other markets. Its moat comes from deep integration with vehicle manufacturers, long product development cycles, and the high cost of switching to a competitor's system. The main risk is that a broader shift toward electric commercial vehicles could reduce demand for traditional automatic transmissions, though Allison is developing its own electrified propulsion products to address that transition.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+5.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-6.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$174M/ year

Declining (-13% vs prior year)

5.8% of revenue

In line with sector average (4%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

0.9%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$399M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Allison Transmission Holdings is growing revenue at 6% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
46.2%
Healthy — 46.2% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
32.7%
Excellent — 32.7% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
15.1%
Strong — 15.1% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+15.5%
Fast-growing sales (+15.5% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-28.8%
Earnings shrinking (-28.8% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
206%
Turns 206% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
22.6%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (22.6%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
2.08
Heavy debt load (2.08)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
5.63x
Adequate interest coverage (5.6x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
21.0x
Growth-priced — P/E 21.0

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+7.6
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (21.0 → 13.4)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
0.98%
Small dividend — 0.98% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+7.7%
Dividend growing modestly (7.7% YoY)

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