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Alto Ingredients

ALTO
41
Chemicals - Specialty · Basic Materials
Price
$4.38
+0.20 (+4.78%)
Market Cap
$339.4M
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
41
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Mixed
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Good

Share count rising — dilution

+4.8% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 72.2M (2021) → 75.7M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Alto Ingredients makes ethanol and other alcohol-based products at facilities across the western United States. Its main products include fuel-grade ethanol, which gets blended into gasoline, and specialty alcohols used in hand sanitizers, beverages, and industrial cleaning products. The company sells to fuel blenders, consumer goods manufacturers, and industrial customers.

Alto earns revenue by producing and selling these alcohol products, with prices largely set by commodity markets. It operates several plants primarily in California, Oregon, and Idaho, making it one of the larger western U.S. ethanol producers. The company's thin margins — around 4% gross margin — reflect how much its profitability depends on the spread between corn input costs and ethanol selling prices, both of which it has little control over. The key risk is that volatile commodity prices can quickly squeeze or eliminate profits, making consistent earnings difficult to achieve.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+12.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+200.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (3%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

10.6%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$24M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Alto Ingredients is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 12%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
6.8%
Thin — 6.8% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
3.5%
Thin — 3.5% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
11.3%
Below par — 11.3% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+1.1%
Nearly flat sales (+1.1% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
69%
Modest — 69% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
3.3%
Thin free cash flow (3.3%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.23
Conservative — low debt load (0.23)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
3.87x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.9x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
6.4x
Attractive valuation — P/E 6.4

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-4.4
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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