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American Financial Group

AFGC
61
Insurance - Property & Casualty · Financial Services
Price
$17.75
+0.01 (+0.03%)
Market Cap
$1.48B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
61
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Sep 13, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

§How the score breaks down

Quality
Good
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Good

Share count falling — buybacks

2.5% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 85.6M (2021) → 83.5M (2025)

§Winston Score History

The full picture

American Financial Group is an insurance holding company based in Cincinnati, Ohio. It focuses on specialty property and casualty insurance, covering niche areas like crop insurance, commercial auto, and workers' compensation. Its customers are mostly businesses that need coverage for unusual or hard-to-place risks that standard insurers often avoid.

The company earns money primarily from insurance premiums and investment income on the funds it holds. It operates mainly in the United States and has built a strong position by specializing in profitable niche markets where competition is less intense. This specialty focus gives it pricing discipline and underwriting expertise that broader insurers often lack. A key growth driver is expanding into additional specialty lines, though the business faces ongoing risk from catastrophic weather events and volatile claims in its property-related segments.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
20.5%
Thin — 20.5% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
15.6%
Healthy — 15.6% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
18.1%
Strong — 18.1% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-0.4%
Shrinking sales (-0.4% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+25.5%
Earnings growing fast (+25.5% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
164%
Turns 164% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
17.3%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (17.3%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.38
Conservative — low debt load (0.38)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
13.51x
Comfortably covers interest (13.5x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
1.5x
Attractive valuation — P/E 1.5

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-11.3
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
7.22%
Healthy income — 7.22% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-0.0%
Dividend cut (-0.0% YoY) — warning sign

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