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Ampol Limited

ALD.AX
27
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Energy
Price
A$39.85
+0.05 (+0.13%)
Market Cap
A$9.50B
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
27
Winston is worried
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Dec 31, 2025
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Mixed

Winston Score History

The full picture

Ampol Limited is an Australian fuel company that refines crude oil into petrol, diesel, and jet fuel, then sells those fuels to drivers, trucking companies, airlines, and industrial businesses. It owns the Ampol brand, which is one of the most recognized fuel retail brands in Australia, and operates the Lytton refinery in Queensland — one of the last remaining oil refineries in the country. The company also runs a large network of petrol stations across Australia and has a growing fuels and infrastructure business in New Zealand and the broader Asia-Pacific region.

Ampol makes money by refining crude oil and selling refined fuels at wholesale and retail prices, earning a margin on the difference between input costs and sale prices. It operates primarily in Australia and New Zealand, with some international supply and trading activity. The thin margins shown in its financials reflect how sensitive the business is to crude oil prices and refining spreads, and a key risk is that long-term demand for liquid fuels may decline as electric vehicles become more common in Australia.

Share count broadly stable

0.3% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 239.8M (2021) → 239.0M (2025)

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
7.8%
Thin — 7.8% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
2.2%
Thin — 2.2% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
7.7%
Weak — 7.7% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-10.5%
Shrinking sales (-10.5% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-34.6%
Earnings shrinking (-34.6% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
913%
Turns 913% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
0.2%
Thin free cash flow (0.2%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.98
Moderate — manageable debt (0.98)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
1.53x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.5x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
117.2x
Expensive — P/E 117.2

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+100.6
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (117.2 → 16.6)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
2.51%
Moderate income — 2.51% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-70.0%
Dividend cut (-70.0% YoY) — warning sign

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