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Arcos Dorados Holdings

ARCO
52
Restaurants · Consumer Cyclical
Winston Score
52
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Good
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Strong

Winston Score History

The full picture

Arcos Dorados is the largest independent McDonald's franchisee in the world. It operates and licenses McDonald's restaurants across 20 countries in Latin America and the Caribbean, serving everyday consumers looking for fast food. The company runs over 2,300 locations under the McDonald's brand, covering markets like Brazil, Argentina, Mexico, and Colombia.

The company makes money by selling food and drinks directly through its own restaurants, and by collecting fees from sub-franchised locations. Brazil is its biggest market and accounts for a large share of total revenue. The McDonald's brand gives Arcos Dorados strong name recognition, but the company faces real risks from currency swings across Latin America — since it reports earnings in U.S. dollars, a weaker Brazilian real or Argentine peso can significantly reduce reported profits. Expanding its digital ordering and loyalty app across the region is a key growth driver going forward.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+14.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+90.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

Insider Activity

7.3%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$301M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Arcos Dorados Holdings is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 14%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
12.1%
Thin — 12.1% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
5.9%
Thin — 5.9% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
19.4%
Strong — 19.4% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+10.8%
Steady sales growth (+10.8% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+93.3%
Earnings growing fast (+93.3% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
133%
Turns 133% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
1.9%
Thin free cash flow (1.9%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.34
Elevated debt (1.34)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
12.24x
Comfortably covers interest (12.2x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
6.4x
no trend
Attractive valuation — P/E 6.4

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-2.0
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
3.16%
no trend
Moderate income — 3.16% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+16.7%
no trend
Dividend growing fast (16.7% YoY)

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