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Arendals Fossekompani ASA

AFK.OL
42
Conglomerates · Industrials
Price
kr 189.00
-6.00 (-3.08%)
Market Cap
kr 10.39B
Exchange
Oslo Stock Exchange
Winston Score
42
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Mar 31, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Mixed
Stability
Good
Valuation
Mixed
Dividends
Exceptional

Share count falling — buybacks

35.4% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 54.9M (2021) → 35.4M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Arendals Fossekompani ASA (AFK) is a Norwegian industrial conglomerate that owns stakes in a range of technology and industrial companies. Its portfolio includes businesses in areas like renewable energy, semiconductor equipment, electric vehicle charging, and fiber-optic communications. The company has roots in hydropower dating back over a century and still generates electricity from waterfalls in Norway.

AFK makes money through dividends, profits, and asset sales from its portfolio of partly owned companies rather than selling one single product itself. It operates primarily in Norway and Northern Europe but has subsidiaries with global reach, particularly in technology markets. The company's long history and ownership of stable hydropower assets give it a reliable cash base, but its negative gross margin signals that some portfolio companies are still burning cash. The key risk is that AFK's value depends heavily on the performance of its individual holdings, making results uneven and harder to predict than a traditional operating company.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
16.3%
Thin — 16.3% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
17.0%
Healthy — 17.0% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
4.3%
Weak — 4.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-21.9%
Shrinking sales (-21.9% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-79.2%
Earnings shrinking (-79.2% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
65%
Modest — 65% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
1.2%
Thin free cash flow (1.2%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.31
Conservative — low debt load (0.31)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
1.88x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.9x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
19.3x
Fair value — P/E 19.3

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-23.5
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
6.35%
Healthy income — 6.35% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+50.0%
Dividend growing fast (50.0% YoY)

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