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Aspen

APZ.AX
54
Real Estate - Diversified · Real Estate
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
54
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Dec 31, 2025
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Good
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Mixed
Dividends
Strong

Winston Score History

The full picture

Aspen Group is an Australian real estate company that owns and manages affordable housing communities. Its main properties are residential land lease communities and holiday parks, where residents either rent a home site long-term or stay for short-term holidays. The company focuses on providing low-cost housing options, mostly for retirees and people on fixed incomes across Australia.

Aspen makes money by collecting rent from residents living in its communities and from guests staying at its holiday parks. It operates entirely within Australia and has a portfolio of properties spread across multiple states. The company's focus on affordable housing gives it a relatively stable tenant base, since demand for low-cost retirement living tends to hold up even when the broader economy slows. The key growth driver is Australia's aging population, which is expected to increase demand for affordable retirement living options over time, though rising property costs and interest rates remain ongoing risks to profitability.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+18.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

-7.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

9.6%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

A$11M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Aspen is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 18%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
50.6%
Healthy — 50.6% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
32.8%
Excellent — 32.8% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
5.5%
Weak — 5.5% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+29.1%
Fast-growing sales (+29.1% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-3.3%
Earnings shrinking (-3.3% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
59%
Weak — only 59% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
27.4%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (27.4%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.37
Conservative — low debt load (0.37)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
7.85x
Adequate interest coverage (7.9x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
16.2x
no trend
Fair value — P/E 16.2

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-6.5
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
2.12%
no trend
Moderate income — 2.12% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+29.2%
no trend
Dividend growing fast (29.2% YoY)

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