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Associated British Foods

ABF.L
49
Packaged Foods · Consumer Defensive
Price
2,061.00 GBp
+30.00 (+1.48%)
Market Cap
£14.42B
Exchange
London Stock Exchange
Winston Score
49
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Feb 28, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Strong

Share count falling — buybacks

8.4% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 790.0M (2021) → 724.0M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Associated British Foods is a large UK-based company that does two very different things: it makes food, and it sells clothes. On the food side, it produces sugar, bread, cereals, and ingredients used by other food companies — well-known brands include Twinings tea, Ovaltine, and Kingsmill bread. On the retail side, it owns Primark, a budget clothing chain popular with shoppers who want low prices.

The company makes money by selling packaged food products to grocery stores and food manufacturers, and by selling clothes directly to shoppers in Primark stores. It operates across Europe, the Americas, Africa, and Asia, with Primark alone running over 400 stores. Primark has no online shopping, which keeps costs low but also limits how far it can grow without opening new stores. The biggest risk is that Primark's store-only model makes it vulnerable if shoppers shift further toward online retail, while the food business faces pressure from volatile sugar prices and commodity costs.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
6.7%
Thin — 6.7% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
6.7%
Modest — 6.7% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
11.5%
Below par — 11.5% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-2.2%
Shrinking sales (-2.2% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-24.3%
Earnings shrinking (-24.3% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
237%
Turns 237% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
6.1%
Modest free cash flow (6.1%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.11
Conservative — low debt load (0.11)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
10.76x
Comfortably covers interest (10.8x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
15.4x
Fair value — P/E 15.4

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+3.4
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (15.4 → 12.0)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
2.97%
Moderate income — 2.97% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+38.3%
Dividend growing fast (38.3% YoY)

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