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Athabasca Oil Corporation

ATH.TO
62
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy
Price
C$11.09
+0.06 (+0.54%)
Market Cap
C$5.37B
Exchange
Toronto Stock Exchange
Winston Score
62
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Strong

Share count falling — buybacks

8.0% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 546.7M (2021) → 503.0M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Athabasca Oil Corporation is a Canadian energy company that pulls oil out of the ground in Alberta, Canada. It focuses on two types of oil production: thermal oil sands, where steam is pumped underground to loosen thick, heavy oil, and lighter oil found in the Duvernay region. The company sells its crude oil to refineries and energy traders, primarily in North American markets.

Athabasca makes money by selling barrels of oil at market prices, so its revenue rises and falls with global oil prices. It operates entirely in Alberta, making it a mid-sized Canadian producer with a relatively low cost structure in its thermal assets — a key advantage over higher-cost peers. The company has been using strong cash flows to buy back shares and reduce debt, but its biggest risk remains its heavy dependence on oil prices, which are set by global forces outside its control.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
34.7%
Modest — 34.7% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
33.6%
Excellent — 33.6% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
17.6%
Strong — 17.6% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-9.7%
Shrinking sales (-9.7% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-45.7%
Earnings shrinking (-45.7% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
232%
Turns 232% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
25.3%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (25.3%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.11
Conservative — low debt load (0.11)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
48.68x
Comfortably covers interest (48.7x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
23.5x
Growth-priced — P/E 23.5

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+13.5
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (23.5 → 10.0)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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