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Athabasca Oil Corporation

ATHOF
62
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy
Price
$7.99
+0.13 (+1.65%)
Market Cap
$3.87B
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
62
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Sep 9, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

§How the score breaks down

Quality
Strong
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Strong

Share count falling — buybacks

8.0% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 546.7M (2021) → 503.0M (2025)

§Winston Score History

The full picture

Athabasca Oil Corporation is a Canadian energy company that produces oil from the oil sands and light oil assets in Alberta, Canada. Its main operations include thermal oil sands projects, where steam is injected underground to extract heavy oil, and conventional light oil drilling. The company sells its oil primarily to refineries and midstream buyers across North America.

Athabasca makes money by producing and selling crude oil, with revenue tied directly to global oil prices. It operates exclusively in Alberta and is a mid-sized producer in Canada's oil sands sector, benefiting from long-life reserves that can produce for decades. The company has worked to reduce debt and improve free cash flow generation, but its financial performance remains heavily dependent on commodity prices and the price differential between heavy Canadian crude and global benchmarks, which represents both its key opportunity and primary risk.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
34.7%
Modest — 34.7% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
33.6%
Excellent — 33.6% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
17.6%
Strong — 17.6% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-11.1%
Shrinking sales (-11.1% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-45.1%
Earnings shrinking (-45.1% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
232%
Turns 232% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
25.3%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (25.3%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.11
Conservative — low debt load (0.11)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
18.30x
Comfortably covers interest (18.3x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
16.9x
Fair value — P/E 16.9

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+5.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (16.9 → 11.1)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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