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Blackstone Mortgage Trust

BXMT
48
REIT - Mortgage · Real Estate
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
48
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Good

Winston Score History

The full picture

Blackstone Mortgage Trust is a real estate finance company that lends money to owners of large commercial properties like office buildings, hotels, and apartment complexes. Instead of owning buildings itself, it acts as the bank — providing loans to real estate investors who need financing. It is managed by Blackstone, one of the largest alternative asset managers in the world, which gives it access to large, institutional-quality borrowers.

The company makes money by collecting interest on the loans it originates, primarily floating-rate senior mortgages secured by properties across the United States, Europe, and Australia. It is structured as a real estate investment trust (REIT), meaning it must pay out most of its income as dividends to shareholders. Its main competitive advantage is its relationship with Blackstone's broader real estate network, but its biggest risk is credit quality — rising vacancies in commercial real estate, especially offices, have increased the chance that some borrowers may struggle to repay their loans.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
69.5%
Premium pricing power — 69.5% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
36.7%
Excellent — 36.7% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
4.0%
Weak — 4.0% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-3.7%
Shrinking sales (-3.7% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
765%
Turns 765% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
7.8%
Modest free cash flow (7.8%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
4.85
Heavy debt load (4.85)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
0.82x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.8x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
178.4x
no trend
Expensive — P/E 178.4

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+165.9
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (178.4 → 12.5)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
12.93%
no trend
Healthy income — 12.93% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+0.0%
no trend
Dividend flat

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