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Cake Box Holdings

CBOX.L
73
Food Confectioners · Consumer Defensive
Price
186.00 GBp
-1.50 (-0.80%)
Market Cap
£81.8M
Exchange
London Stock Exchange
Winston Score
73
Winston is happy
A high-quality business with solid fundamentals.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Mar 31, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Exceptional

Share count rising — dilution

+14.3% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 40.0M (2022) → 45.7M (2026)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Cake Box Holdings is a UK-based retail chain that sells fresh cream cakes and celebration cakes. All of its products are free from eggs, making them suitable for vegetarians and many customers with dietary restrictions. The company operates under the "Cake Box" brand and sells directly to everyday consumers through its network of franchise stores across the United Kingdom.

The business makes money in two main ways: selling cake ingredients and supplies to its franchisees, and collecting franchise fees. This franchise model means Cake Box does not run most stores itself, which keeps costs relatively low and explains its solid gross margin above 50%. The company is small, with a market cap around £100 million, and its moat comes from brand recognition and a niche focus on egg-free celebration cakes, a segment with few direct competitors. The key risk is that consumer spending on non-essential treats tends to fall during economic downturns, which could pressure franchisee sales and, in turn, Cake Box's own revenue.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+28.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+30.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

£0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (2%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

26.3%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

£4M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Cake Box Holdings grew revenue 29% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
56.1%
Premium pricing power — 56.1% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
22.5%
Excellent — 22.5% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
24.6%
Exceptional — 24.6% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+39.5%
Fast-growing sales (+39.5% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+10.2%
Earnings growing (+10.2% YoY)

Healthy double-digit earnings growth — what compounders look like.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
179%
Turns 179% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
11.9%
Modest free cash flow (11.9%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.50
Conservative — low debt load (0.50)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
6.09x
Adequate interest coverage (6.1x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
15.7x
Fair value — P/E 15.7

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+3.7
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (15.7 → 12.0)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
5.20%
Healthy income — 5.20% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+22.6%
Dividend growing fast (22.6% YoY)

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