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Canada Goose Holdings

GOOS
44
Apparel - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$8.74
+0.19 (+2.22%)
Market Cap
$849.1M
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
44
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Strong

Share count falling — buybacks

9.3% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 109.2M (2022) → 99.0M (2026)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Canada Goose makes high-end winter jackets, parkas, and outerwear. The company sells directly to consumers through its own stores and website, and also through select retail partners. It is a Canadian brand known for its distinctive Arctic Program patch and premium price points, typically targeting affluent shoppers willing to pay $500–$1,500 or more for a single coat.

Canada Goose earns revenue through direct-to-consumer sales in its own retail stores and e-commerce, plus a smaller wholesale channel. It operates globally, with a significant presence in Canada, the US, Europe, and especially China, which has become a key growth market. The brand's moat is its luxury reputation and recognizable logo, but this also creates risk — consumer spending on expensive discretionary items like premium outerwear tends to drop sharply during economic slowdowns, and the company's heavy reliance on China exposes it to shifts in that market's consumer confidence and geopolitical tensions.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+18.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+3.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow EPS growth

R&D Spend

C$0/ year

Declining (-100% vs prior year)

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

0.7%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

C$425M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Canada Goose Holdings is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 18%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
34.7%
Modest — 34.7% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
-88.6%
Losing money on operations — -88.6%
Return on the money invested
ROCE
13.5%
Good — 13.5% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+12.6%
Fast-growing sales (+12.6% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+19.4%
Earnings growing fast (+19.4% YoY)

Healthy double-digit earnings growth — what compounders look like.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
197%
Turns 197% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
4.2%
Thin free cash flow (4.2%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.01
Elevated debt (1.01)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
2.81x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.8x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
15.1x
Fair value — P/E 15.1

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+3.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (15.1 → 11.2)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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