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Canfor Corporation

CFP.TO
24
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products · Basic Materials
Price
C$15.05
+0.25 (+1.69%)
Market Cap
C$1.77B
Exchange
Toronto Stock Exchange
Winston Score
24
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Data not available
Dividends
Good

Share count falling — buybacks

5.9% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 124.9M (2021) → 117.5M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Canfor Corporation is a Canadian company that cuts down trees and turns them into lumber, wood pulp, and other wood products. Its main customers are homebuilders, construction companies, and paper manufacturers in North America, Asia, and Europe. Canfor is one of the largest lumber producers in the world, with forests and mills concentrated in British Columbia, Alberta, and the southern United States.

The company makes money by selling lumber and pulp at market prices, which means its revenue rises and falls with commodity cycles it cannot control. Canfor operates dozens of sawmills and pulp mills across Canada and the US, giving it significant scale, but that scale does not protect it from weak lumber prices. The negative operating and return margins shown today reflect exactly that risk — when housing construction slows and lumber prices fall, Canfor's profits disappear quickly, and the company's near-term performance depends heavily on a recovery in North American housing demand.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+10.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+90.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

C$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (3%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

54.4%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

C$286M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Canfor Corporation is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 11%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
7.0%
Thin — 7.0% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
4.0%
Thin — 4.0% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
-7.3%
Weak — -7.3% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+2.7%
Nearly flat sales (+2.7% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-0.7%
Burning cash (-0.7%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.36
Conservative — low debt load (0.36)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
1.30%
Small dividend — 1.30% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+602.3%
Dividend growing fast (602.3% YoY)

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