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Capital Power Corporation

CPXWF
30
Independent Power Producers · Utilities
Price
$47.72
-0.42 (-0.87%)
Market Cap
$7.50B
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
30
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Strong

Share count rising — dilution

+33.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 112.8M (2021) → 150.8M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Capital Power Corporation is a Canadian electricity company that builds and operates power plants. It generates electricity from natural gas, wind, and solar energy, then sells that power to utilities, businesses, and electricity grids across Canada and the United States. It is one of the larger independent power producers in North America, with a significant presence in Alberta's deregulated electricity market.

Capital Power makes money by selling electricity under long-term contracts and in open energy markets, which gives it a mix of stable and variable revenue. The company operates dozens of facilities across Canada and several U.S. states, with a total generating capacity of several thousand megawatts. Its long-term power purchase agreements provide some protection against price swings, but the negative operating margins in recent periods reflect the capital-heavy nature of the business and ongoing investment costs. The key growth driver is its pipeline of renewable energy projects, while rising interest rates and fuel cost volatility remain the main financial risks.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+62.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+64.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

C$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.1%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Runway

5+ years

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

C$1.7B cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue accelerating

Capital Power Corporation grew revenue 63% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
18.5%
Thin — 18.5% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
9.3%
Modest — 9.3% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
-3.0%
Weak — -3.0% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+11.3%
Steady sales growth (+11.3% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-83.6%
Earnings shrinking (-83.6% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
978%
Turns 978% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
5.1%
Thin free cash flow (5.1%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.47
Elevated debt (1.47)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
90.9x
Expensive — P/E 90.9

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+66.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (90.9 → 24.1)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
4.11%
Healthy income — 4.11% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+5.6%
Dividend growing modestly (5.6% YoY)

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