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Carlsberg A/S

CABJF
55
Beverages - Alcoholic · Consumer Defensive
Price
$130.05
+0.00 (+0.00%)
Market Cap
$17.19B
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
55
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Sep 1, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Strong

Share count falling — buybacks

8.4% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 144.3M (2021) → 132.2M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Carlsberg is one of the world's largest beer companies, headquartered in Denmark. It brews and sells beer and other beverages under brands like Carlsberg, Tuborg, Kronenbourg 1664, and many local labels. Its customers include bars, restaurants, grocery stores, and consumers across more than 100 markets.

The company earns revenue by selling beer, craft brews, and a growing portfolio of non-alcoholic drinks. Europe and Asia are its two biggest regions, with a particularly strong presence in China and several Western European countries. Carlsberg's scale, well-known brand portfolio, and long-standing distribution relationships give it a durable competitive position. Key growth drivers include premiumization — selling higher-priced beers — and expanding its alcohol-free offerings, though the company faces risks from shifting consumer health trends and potential regulatory changes around alcohol.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+2.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+6.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow EPS growth

R&D Spend

kr 0/ year

Declining (-100% vs prior year)

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (2%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

8.8%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

kr 19.3B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Carlsberg A/S is growing revenue at 2% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
45.5%
Healthy — 45.5% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
14.1%
Healthy — 14.1% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
11.6%
Below par — 11.6% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+9.7%
Steady sales growth (+9.7% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-31.5%
Earnings shrinking (-31.5% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
234%
Turns 234% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
10.2%
Modest free cash flow (10.2%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
2.50
Heavy debt load (2.50)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
4.02x
Adequate interest coverage (4.0x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
18.3x
Fair value — P/E 18.3

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+6.5
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (18.3 → 11.8)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
3.44%
Moderate income — 3.44% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+26.3%
Dividend growing fast (26.3% YoY)

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