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Carlyle Secured Lending

CGBD
52
Asset Management · Financial Services
Price
$11.35
+0.02 (+0.18%)
Market Cap
$788.8M
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
52
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Good

Share count rising — dilution

+16.0% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 59.5M (2021) → 69.0M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Carlyle Secured Lending is a company that lends money to mid-sized businesses that cannot easily borrow from traditional banks. It focuses on "middle market" companies — businesses that are too big for a small bank loan but too small to borrow easily from public markets. It is part of the broader Carlyle Group ecosystem, one of the world's largest private equity and credit firms.

The company makes money by charging interest on the loans it provides, which are mostly secured — meaning borrowers put up assets as collateral if they cannot repay. It operates primarily in the United States and is structured as a Business Development Company (BDC), which requires it to pay out most of its income as dividends to shareholders. Its connection to Carlyle gives it deal-flow advantages, but rising interest rates or a slowdown in the economy could increase loan defaults, which is the main risk the business faces.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+54.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

-100.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.8%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$27M cash & investments

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Carlyle Secured Lending grew revenue 54% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
76.1%
Premium pricing power — 76.1% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
33.0%
Excellent — 33.0% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
4.3%
Weak — 4.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+54.7%
Fast-growing sales (+54.7% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-58.9%
Earnings shrinking (-58.9% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
809%
Turns 809% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
125.6%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (125.6%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.21
Elevated debt (1.21)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
1.13x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.1x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
22.3x
Growth-priced — P/E 22.3

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+13.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (22.3 → 8.4)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
12.33%
Healthy income — 12.33% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-14.3%
Dividend cut (-14.3% YoY) — warning sign

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