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Casella Waste Systems

CWST
29
Waste Management · Industrials
Price
$92.01
-1.04 (-1.12%)
Market Cap
$5.76B
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
29
Winston is worried
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Good
Valuation
Data not available

Share count rising — dilution

+23.4% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 51.5M (2021) → 63.6M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Casella Waste Systems is a regional trash and recycling company based in Vermont. It collects garbage, recyclable materials, and organic waste from homes, businesses, and municipalities, then hauls that material to landfills, transfer stations, and recycling facilities that it owns and operates. The company focuses almost entirely on the northeastern United States, covering states like Vermont, New York, Maine, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, and Pennsylvania.

Casella makes money by charging customers regular fees to pick up and dispose of their waste, and by selling recovered materials like paper, metal, and plastic from its recycling operations. It operates a network of landfills, transfer stations, and hauling routes across the Northeast, giving it a regional density advantage that makes it hard for smaller competitors to undercut on price. The main growth driver is expanding that footprint through acquisitions of smaller, local haulers — but rising landfill costs, environmental regulations, and recycling commodity price swings remain ongoing risks to profitability.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+16.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

-26.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.6%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$29M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Casella Waste Systems is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 17%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
32.9%
Modest — 32.9% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
3.7%
Thin — 3.7% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
0.0%
Weak — 0.0% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+13.6%
Fast-growing sales (+13.6% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-48.6%
Earnings shrinking (-48.6% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
6156%
Turns 6156% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
5.4%
Thin free cash flow (5.4%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.00
Conservative — low debt load (0.00)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
1.35x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.4x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/A
Data not available
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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