WinstonWınston
Back
CF Industries Holdings logo

CF Industries Holdings

CF
75
Agricultural Inputs · Basic Materials
Also trades as: 0HQU.L
Price
$129.65
+3.95 (+3.14%)
Market Cap
$19.92B
Winston Score
75
Winston is happy
A high-quality business with solid fundamentals.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Exceptional
Growth
Exceptional
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Mixed

Share count falling — buybacks

25.0% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 216.2M (2021) → 162.2M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

CF Industries makes fertilizers that farmers use to help crops grow. Its main product is nitrogen fertilizer — especially ammonia and urea — which it sells to farmers, farm cooperatives, and agricultural distributors across North America. It is one of the largest nitrogen fertilizer producers in the world.

The company makes money by manufacturing and selling fertilizer products, so its profits rise and fall with fertilizer prices and natural gas costs, since natural gas is the key ingredient used to make nitrogen fertilizer. CF Industries operates large production plants mostly in the United States, with some facilities in the United Kingdom and Canada, generating roughly $6–7 billion in annual revenue. Its low-cost U.S. production network gives it a cost advantage over many foreign competitors, but the biggest risk it faces is a sharp drop in global fertilizer prices or a spike in natural gas prices, either of which can quickly squeeze its margins.

Politician Trades

4 trades / 12mo

2 Congressional buys and 2 sells on CF in the last 12 months.

Unlock the full Smart Money Map — every trade plotted on the price chart with politicians, amounts and returns since each trade. Founder's Deal is $57/mo locked for life.

Unlock politician trades

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+17.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+100.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (3%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.7%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$2.5B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

CF Industries Holdings is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 18%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
51.5%
Healthy — 51.5% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
47.3%
Excellent — 47.3% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
32.9%
Exceptional — 32.9% return on capital

ROIC above 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns more than 25 cents back per year.

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+20.0%
Fast-growing sales (+20.0% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+76.5%
Earnings growing fast (+76.5% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
142%
Turns 142% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
24.7%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (24.7%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.56
Conservative — low debt load (0.56)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
17.25x
Comfortably covers interest (17.3x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
9.6x
Attractive valuation — P/E 9.6

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-4.5
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
1.57%
Small dividend — 1.57% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+5.0%
Dividend growing modestly (5.0% YoY)

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free
🔒 See full fundamentals and if they are improving or declining — click here for your free trial now.
Start free trial