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The Carlyle Group

CG
37
Asset Management · Financial Services
Price
$49.37
+1.38 (+2.88%)
Market Cap
$17.77B
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
37
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Mixed

Share count rising — dilution

+2.3% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 362.6M (2021) → 370.9M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

The Carlyle Group is a large investment firm that manages money on behalf of pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, wealthy individuals, and other big institutions. It pools that money into funds and uses it to buy companies, real estate, and loans — then tries to sell those assets later at a profit. Carlyle is one of the largest private equity firms in the world, with hundreds of billions of dollars in assets under management across three main business segments: private equity, global credit, and investment solutions.

Carlyle earns money in two main ways: management fees charged as a percentage of assets it oversees, and performance fees (called "carried interest") when its investments generate strong returns. The firm operates globally, with major offices in North America, Europe, and Asia. Its competitive edge comes from decades of relationships with governments, corporations, and institutional investors. The main risk is that rising interest rates or a weak deal environment can slow fundraising and reduce the value of its portfolio companies.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-4.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-57.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

27.3%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$25.6B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

The Carlyle Group's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
22.0%
Thin — 22.0% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
22.0%
Excellent — 22.0% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
3.3%
Weak — 3.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-10.5%
Shrinking sales (-10.5% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-71.2%
Earnings shrinking (-71.2% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
-222%
Weak — only -222% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-23.3%
Burning cash (-23.3%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.91
Elevated debt (1.91)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
2.15x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.2x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
48.8x
Expensive — P/E 48.8

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+39.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (48.8 → 9.6)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
2.86%
Moderate income — 2.86% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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