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Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance

REFI
54
REIT - Mortgage · Real Estate
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
54
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Mar 31, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Good
Valuation
Good

Winston Score History

The full picture

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance is a specialty mortgage lender that focuses almost entirely on the cannabis industry. It provides loans to licensed cannabis operators — like growers, dispensaries, and processors — across the United States. Because most banks won't lend to cannabis businesses due to federal legal restrictions, Chicago Atlantic fills a gap that few traditional lenders will touch.

The company makes money by charging interest on its loans, which tend to carry higher rates because of the risk and complexity involved in cannabis lending. It operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT), meaning it must pay out most of its income as dividends to shareholders. With a market cap around $200 million, it is a small, niche lender with a meaningful competitive advantage simply because so few rivals exist in this space. The biggest risk the company faces is federal cannabis policy — any shift that brings mainstream banks into the market could increase competition and pressure the high interest rates Chicago Atlantic currently charges.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+16.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

-52.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

15.7%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$428M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 16%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
88.7%
Premium pricing power — 88.7% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
45.4%
Excellent — 45.4% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
3.6%
Weak — 3.6% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+9.0%
Steady sales growth (+9.0% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-24.0%
Earnings shrinking (-24.0% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
1/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
79%
Modest — 79% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
40.9%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (40.9%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.38
Conservative — low debt load (0.38)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
2.00x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (2.0x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
7.8x
no trend
Attractive valuation — P/E 7.8

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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