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Chipotle Mexican Grill

CMG
57
Restaurants · Consumer Cyclical
Also trades as: 0HXW.L
Price
$36.90
+1.61 (+4.56%)
Market Cap
$47.33B
Winston Score
57
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Good
Valuation
Good

Share count falling — buybacks

5.8% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 1.43B (2021) → 1.34B (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Chipotle Mexican Grill is a fast-casual restaurant chain that serves Mexican-style food like burritos, bowls, tacos, and quesadillas. Customers build their own meals from a short menu of fresh ingredients, and the chain targets everyday diners looking for a quick but higher-quality alternative to traditional fast food. Chipotle operates over 3,500 locations, mostly in the United States, making it one of the largest fast-casual chains in the country.

The company makes money primarily by selling food directly to customers in its restaurants, with a growing portion of sales coming through its digital ordering app and delivery partnerships. Chipotle's competitive edge comes from its simple menu, strong brand loyalty, and a well-known commitment to avoiding artificial ingredients. The main growth driver is continued new restaurant openings, particularly its smaller-format "Chipotlane" drive-thru locations, while its biggest risk is food cost inflation and any food safety incident, which has damaged the brand in the past.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+9.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+0.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.8%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$325M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Chipotle Mexican Grill is growing revenue at 9% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
69.8%
Premium pricing power — 69.8% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
15.7%
Healthy — 15.7% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
24.5%
Exceptional — 24.5% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+7.3%
Steady sales growth (+7.3% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-3.5%
Earnings shrinking (-3.5% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
164%
Turns 164% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
12.6%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (12.6%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
2.46
Heavy debt load (2.46)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
100.00x
Comfortably covers interest (100.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
33.9x
Pricey — P/E 33.9

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+13.1
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (33.9 → 20.7)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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