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Dream Finders Homes

DFH
31
Residential Construction · Consumer Cyclical
Winston Score
31
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Good

Winston Score History

The full picture

Dream Finders Homes builds and sells new single-family homes across the United States. The company targets first-time buyers and move-up buyers, offering homes in planned communities mostly in the Southeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Texas. It operates under several regional brands and focuses on faster-growing Sun Belt markets where population growth has been strong.

The company makes money by selling completed homes, typically collecting payment at closing. Dream Finders uses an "asset-light" model, meaning it controls land through options and contracts rather than buying it outright, which reduces the cash it needs to tie up in land. It operates across roughly a dozen states and competes against both large national builders and smaller regional ones. The main risk is interest rate sensitivity — when mortgage rates rise, fewer buyers can afford new homes, which can slow sales and pressure margins. Gross margins near 16% leave limited cushion if home prices soften or construction costs rise.

Politician Trades

3 trades / 12mo

1 Congressional buy and 2 sells on DFH in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
-12.2%
Thin — -12.2% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
-1.8%
Losing money on operations — -1.8%
Return on the money invested
ROCE
6.7%
Weak — 6.7% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-12.2%
Shrinking sales (-12.2% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-50.5%
Earnings shrinking (-50.5% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
1/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
-60%
Weak — only -60% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-3.2%
Burning cash (-3.2%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.41
Conservative — low debt load (0.41)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
100.00x
Comfortably covers interest (100.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
9.3x
no trend
Attractive valuation — P/E 9.3

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-4.0
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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