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Dutch Bros

BROS
55
Restaurants · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$49.87
+0.50 (+1.01%)
Market Cap
$8.62B
Winston Score
55
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Exceptional
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Good

Share count rising — dilution

+174.2% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 45.9M (2021) → 125.8M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Dutch Bros is a drive-through coffee and beverage chain based in the United States. It sells coffee drinks, energy drinks, smoothies, and teas, mostly to everyday consumers who want a fast, affordable alternative to sitting-down coffee shops. The company started in Oregon in 1992 and has grown into one of the largest drive-through coffee chains in the country.

Dutch Bros makes money by operating its own shops and by collecting royalties and fees from franchised locations. It currently has over 900 locations, concentrated mostly in the western and southern United States, with ongoing expansion into new states. The brand has a loyal, younger customer base and a strong drive-through-only format that keeps costs lower than full-service cafes. The key growth driver is opening new shops in markets where Dutch Bros does not yet have a presence, though rising labor and real estate costs could pressure profit margins as it scales.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+32.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+40.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong earnings growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

3.6%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$269M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Dutch Bros grew revenue 32% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
27.7%
Modest — 27.7% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
12.5%
Healthy — 12.5% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
10.0%
Below par — 10.0% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+29.6%
Fast-growing sales (+29.6% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+52.7%
Earnings growing fast (+52.7% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
7/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
274%
Turns 274% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
2.9%
Thin free cash flow (2.9%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.27
Elevated debt (1.27)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
69.3x
Expensive — P/E 69.3

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+39.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (69.3 → 30.0)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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