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ERG S.p.A.

ERG.MI
61
Renewable Utilities · Utilities
Price
€22.38
+0.10 (+0.45%)
Market Cap
€3.25B
Exchange
Italian Stock Exchange
Winston Score
61
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Sep 7, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

§How the score breaks down

Quality
Good
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Exceptional

Share count falling — buybacks

2.7% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 149.3M (2021) → 145.3M (2025)

§Winston Score History

The full picture

ERG is an Italian energy company that generates electricity from renewable sources, mainly wind and solar power. It operates wind farms and solar parks across several European countries, selling clean energy to utilities, businesses, and power grids. Once an oil refining company, ERG completed a major transformation into one of the leading independent renewable energy producers in Europe.

The company earns revenue by selling the electricity its plants generate, often through long-term contracts or government-backed incentive schemes that provide some income stability. ERG operates primarily in Italy, France, Germany, the UK, and several other European markets, with an installed capacity of roughly 3 gigawatts. Its diversified portfolio across multiple countries and technologies helps reduce weather and regulatory risk. Key growth depends on expanding its project pipeline and securing new capacity, though changing government subsidy frameworks and rising competition for development sites remain notable risks.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+6.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-17.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

€0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

65.8%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

€570M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

ERG S.p.A. is growing revenue at 7% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
57.0%
Premium pricing power — 57.0% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
31.1%
Excellent — 31.1% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
6.1%
Weak — 6.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+44.8%
Fast-growing sales (+44.8% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-58.4%
Earnings shrinking (-58.4% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
350%
Turns 350% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
40.0%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (40.0%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.29
Elevated debt (1.29)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
3.07x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.1x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
63.3x
Expensive — P/E 63.3

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+12.4
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (63.3 → 50.9)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
4.47%
Healthy income — 4.47% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+27.0%
Dividend growing fast (27.0% YoY)

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