WinstonWınston
Back
Exagen logo

Exagen

XGN
29
Medical - Diagnostics & Research · Healthcare
Price
$7.92
+0.14 (+1.80%)
Market Cap
$191.3M
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
29
Winston is worried
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Data not available

Share count rising — dilution

+35.0% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 16.0M (2021) → 21.6M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Exagen Inc. is a diagnostics company that makes blood tests to help doctors diagnose and manage autoimmune diseases, especially lupus and rheumatoid arthritis. Its main product is AVISE CTD, a test that analyzes a patient's blood to give doctors a clearer picture of what autoimmune condition they might have. The company sells primarily to rheumatologists — specialists who treat joint and immune system diseases — across the United States.

Exagen makes money by billing insurance companies and patients for each test performed, meaning revenue depends on how many tests doctors order. The company operates entirely in the U.S. and is relatively small, with a market cap around $200 million. Its focus on a narrow but underserved area of autoimmune diagnostics gives it some specialization, but the negative operating and return margins show it is still spending more than it earns. The key challenge ahead is scaling test volume fast enough to reach profitability before cash resources run thin.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+15.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+38.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$6M/ year

Rising (+16% vs prior year)

9.4% of revenue

Below sector average (18%)

R&D investment increasing — building for the future

Insider Activity

42.8%ownership

Rising

Insiders increasing their stake — aligned with shareholders

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$25M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Exagen is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 16%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
61.3%
Premium pricing power — 61.3% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
-8.6%
Losing money on operations — -8.6%
Return on the money invested
ROCE
-37.7%
Weak — -37.7% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+20.8%
Fast-growing sales (+20.8% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-10.7%
Burning cash (-10.7%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.87
Elevated debt (1.87)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
🔒 See full fundamentals and if they are improving or declining — click here for your free trial now.
Start free trial