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Exxaro Resources Limited

EXX.JO
53
Coal · Energy
Price
18533.00 ZAc
+133.00 (+0.72%)
Market Cap
43.39B ZAc
Exchange
Johannesburg Stock Exchange
Winston Score
53
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Good

Share count falling — buybacks

3.6% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 247.0M (2021) → 238.0M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Exxaro Resources is a South African mining company that digs coal out of the ground and sells it to power stations and industrial customers. Its biggest customer is Eskom, the national electricity utility that generates most of South Africa's power. Exxaro is one of the largest coal producers in South Africa and also holds a meaningful stake in Sishen Iron Ore Company (SIOC), giving it exposure to iron ore as well.

The company earns money primarily by selling thermal coal under long-term supply agreements, which provides relatively steady revenue. It operates mainly in South Africa, with most mines located in the Limpopo and Mpumalanga provinces. Its close ties to Eskom are both a strength and a risk — Eskom provides reliable demand but has faced serious financial and operational problems for years. Exxaro is also working to diversify into renewable energy, which could reduce its dependence on coal over time as South Africa transitions its energy mix.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+7.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-18.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

R2M/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

24.2%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

R50.0B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Exxaro Resources Limited is growing revenue at 8% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
17.4%
Thin — 17.4% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
17.4%
Healthy — 17.4% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
10.3%
Below par — 10.3% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+2.4%
Nearly flat sales (+2.4% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-15.7%
Earnings shrinking (-15.7% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
187%
Turns 187% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
16.2%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (16.2%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.23
Conservative — low debt load (0.23)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
8.45x
Comfortably covers interest (8.4x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
6.5x
Attractive valuation — P/E 6.5

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+1.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
9.04%
Healthy income — 9.04% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-35.7%
Dividend cut (-35.7% YoY) — warning sign

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