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Federal Agricultural Mortgage

AGM
55
Financial - Credit Services · Financial Services
Price
$220.84
-0.01 (-0.00%)
Market Cap
$2.40B
Winston Score
55
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Good

Share count rising — dilution

+1.3% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 10.8M (2021) → 11.0M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation, known as Farmer Mac, is a government-sponsored enterprise that helps funnel money into rural America. It buys agricultural loans and rural infrastructure loans from banks and lenders, freeing those lenders up to make more loans to farmers, ranchers, and rural utilities. Congress created Farmer Mac in 1988, making it one of the few federally chartered secondary market institutions focused specifically on agricultural credit.

Farmer Mac makes money by holding a portfolio of loans and loan guarantees, earning the spread between what it pays to borrow money and what it earns on those assets. It operates exclusively in the United States, serving agricultural lenders, rural electric cooperatives, and farm credit institutions across the country. Its government-sponsored status gives it a funding cost advantage that private competitors cannot easily replicate. The main risk is exposure to falling farmland values or a broad agricultural downturn, which could increase loan defaults and pressure the portfolio's credit quality.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
95.3%
Premium pricing power — 95.3% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
90.5%
Excellent — 90.5% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
1.7%
Weak — 1.7% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-12.2%
Shrinking sales (-12.2% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+7.4%
Modest earnings growth (+7.4% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
135%
Turns 135% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
22.0%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (22.0%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
18.71
Heavy debt load (18.71)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
0.53x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.5x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
12.0x
Attractive valuation — P/E 12.0

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+0.7
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
2.72%
Moderate income — 2.72% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+6.9%
Dividend growing modestly (6.9% YoY)

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