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Ferguson

FERG
25
Industrial - Distribution · Industrials
Also trades as: FERG.L
Winston Score
25
Winston is worried
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Data not available
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Mixed

Winston Score History

The full picture

Ferguson is a large distributor of plumbing and HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning) supplies. It sells pipes, valves, fittings, water heaters, and related products to professional contractors, builders, and industrial customers — not to everyday shoppers. It is the largest wholesale distributor of plumbing products in the United States.

Ferguson makes money by buying products from manufacturers and reselling them at a markup through its network of branches and online ordering systems. It operates primarily in the United States, with a smaller presence in Canada, and generates roughly $29 billion in annual revenue. Its competitive advantage comes from its massive branch network and deep supplier relationships, which are hard for smaller rivals to replicate. The main risk is that its business is closely tied to construction activity — when housing starts and commercial building slow down, demand for Ferguson's products tends to fall as well.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+3.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-3.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

0.2%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$437M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Ferguson is growing revenue at 3% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
32.0%
Modest — 32.0% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
10.2%
Modest — 10.2% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
7.3%
Weak — 7.3% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
N/A
Data not available
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
N/A
Data not available

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.96
Moderate — manageable debt (0.96)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
23.1x
no trend
Growth-priced — P/E 23.1

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+4.9
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (23.1 → 18.3)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
1.37%
no trend
Small dividend — 1.37% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+6.7%
no trend
Dividend growing modestly (6.7% YoY)

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