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Ferrexpo

FXPO.L
22
Steel · Basic Materials
Price
28.58 GBp
-2.10 (-6.84%)
Market Cap
£168.2M
Exchange
London Stock Exchange
Winston Score
22
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2025
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Data not available
Valuation
Data not available

Share count rising — dilution

+1.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 589.0M (2020) → 599.0M (2024)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Ferrexpo is a mining company that digs iron ore out of the ground in Ukraine and turns it into small pellets. These pellets are sold to steel mills across Europe and Asia, which use them as a key ingredient to make steel. Ferrexpo is one of the largest iron ore pellet producers in the world and has been mining the same deposit in central Ukraine for decades.

The company earns money by selling these pellets directly to steel manufacturers, so its revenue rises and falls with global steel demand and iron ore prices. Ferrexpo operates almost entirely in Ukraine, which creates significant risk — the ongoing war in Ukraine has severely disrupted its operations, cut production, and pushed the company into heavy losses, as reflected in its deeply negative operating margin. The central challenge for Ferrexpo is not growth but survival: its ability to recover depends almost entirely on how the conflict in Ukraine develops.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+65.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

-171.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (3%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

80.1%ownership

Declining

Insider ownership declining — could be dilution or selling

Cash Runway

~3 months

$59M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Revenue accelerating

Ferrexpo grew revenue 65% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
31.3%
Modest — 31.3% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
-42.9%
Losing money on operations — -42.9%
Return on the money invested
ROCE
-31.7%
Weak — -31.7% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+48.9%
Fast-growing sales (+48.9% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-9.7%
Burning cash (-9.7%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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