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Flowers Foods

FLO
43
Packaged Foods · Consumer Defensive
Winston Score
43
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jul 18, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Good

Winston Score History

The full picture

Flowers Foods makes bread, buns, rolls, and snack cakes that you find in grocery stores and restaurants across the United States. Its most well-known brands include Nature's Own, Dave's Killer Bread, and Wonder Bread, which it sells to supermarkets, mass retailers, foodservice companies, and convenience stores. It is one of the largest packaged bread companies in the country.

The company earns money by selling its baked goods wholesale to retailers and distributors, who then stock them on store shelves. Flowers Foods operates almost entirely in the United States and generates roughly $5 billion in annual revenue. Its competitive edge comes from strong regional distribution networks and recognizable brand names, though it faces constant pressure from store-brand (private label) products that are cheaper for shoppers. Rising ingredient and transportation costs are an ongoing risk, and the company's ability to raise prices without losing customers will be a key factor in protecting its thin operating margins going forward.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue data limited

EPS Growth

YoY Growth Rate

EPS data limited

Insider Activity

7.8%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$16M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
48.4%
Healthy — 48.4% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
5.7%
Thin — 5.7% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
8.0%
Weak — 8.0% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+2.5%
Nearly flat sales (+2.5% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-75.0%
Earnings shrinking (-75.0% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
781%
Turns 781% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
6.0%
Modest free cash flow (6.0%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.70
Elevated debt (1.70)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
3.73x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.7x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
26.7x
no trend
Growth-priced — P/E 26.7

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+17.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (26.7 → 9.0)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
11.51%
no trend
Healthy income — 11.51% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-10.3%
no trend
Dividend cut (-10.3% YoY) — warning sign

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