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Fossil Group

FOSL
28
Apparel - Footwear & Accessories · Consumer Cyclical
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
28
Winston is worried
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jul 4, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Data not available

Winston Score History

The full picture

Fossil Group makes watches, smartwatches, and accessories like jewelry and leather goods. It sells products under its own Fossil and Skagen brands, and also makes watches for licensed brands like Michael Kors, Emporio Armani, and Diesel. The company targets everyday consumers looking for affordable fashion accessories, competing in the mid-range watch market.

Fossil earns money by selling its products through department stores, its own retail shops, and online channels across North America, Europe, and Asia. Its licensed brand portfolio gives it some shelf-space advantages, but the company faces serious pressure from two sides: cheap fashion watches from below and Apple Watch and other smartwatches from above. Fossil has been shrinking for several years as traditional watch sales decline, and its main challenge is finding a sustainable path forward as consumer interest in traditional wristwatches continues to weaken.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue data limited

EPS Growth

YoY Growth Rate

EPS data limited

Insider Activity

17.9%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

~11 months

$86M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

Fossil Group has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
62.4%
Premium pricing power — 62.4% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
1.5%
Thin — 1.5% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
4.6%
Weak — 4.6% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-9.1%
Shrinking sales (-9.1% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-2.3%
Burning cash (-2.3%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
2.44
Heavy debt load (2.44)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
0.55x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.6x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
no trend
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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