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Frontier Group Holdings

ULCC
22
Airlines, Airports & Air Services · Industrials
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
22
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Data not available

Winston Score History

The full picture

Frontier Group Holdings is the parent company of Frontier Airlines, an ultra-low-cost carrier based in Denver, Colorado. It flies passengers to destinations across the United States, Mexico, the Caribbean, and Central America. Frontier is known for charging very low base fares and then adding fees for things like seat selection, carry-on bags, and other extras.

The company makes most of its money from ticket sales and those added fees, which the airline industry calls "ancillary revenue." Frontier operates entirely in the Americas and competes directly with other budget carriers like Spirit and Allegiant for price-sensitive travelers. Its main competitive edge is keeping costs extremely low, but that also means thin profit margins and little cushion when fuel prices rise or travel demand drops — both of which are ongoing risks. Returning to consistent profitability is the central challenge the company faces going forward.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+37.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

-25.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

57.5%ownership

Declining

Insider ownership declining — could be dilution or selling

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$955M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Frontier Group Holdings grew revenue 38% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
53.4%
Healthy — 53.4% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
-7.6%
Losing money on operations — -7.6%
Return on the money invested
ROCE
-70.9%
Weak — -70.9% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+10.0%
Steady sales growth (+10.0% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-5.9%
Burning cash (-5.9%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
3.72
Heavy debt load (3.72)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
no trend
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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