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GemLife Group

GLF.AX
45
Real Estate - Development · Real Estate
Price
A$4.90
+0.30 (+6.52%)
Market Cap
A$1.86B
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
45
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Dec 31, 2025
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Weak

Share count falling — buybacks

24.5% over 3y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 380.3M (2022) → 286.9M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

GemLife Group is an Australian company that builds and operates large residential communities designed specifically for people aged 50 and over. These are not nursing homes — they are lifestyle resorts with homes, pools, gyms, and clubhouses where retirees own their dwelling and pay fees to live in the community. GemLife owns and manages these villages across Queensland, New South Wales, and Victoria.

The company makes money in two main ways: selling new homes within its villages and collecting ongoing management fees from residents. With Australia's population aging rapidly, demand for quality over-50s housing is growing. GemLife competes in a sector alongside larger players like Ingenia Communities and Lifestyle Communities, but it focuses on the premium end of the market, which supports its strong gross margins. The key growth driver is Australia's large baby boomer generation entering retirement age, though rising construction costs and land acquisition expenses remain ongoing risks to profitability.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-16.3% YoY

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-93.4% YoY

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

A$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

43.4%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

5+ years

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

A$1.4B cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue declining

GemLife Group's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
50.2%
Healthy — 50.2% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
28.7%
Excellent — 28.7% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
13.1%
Good — 13.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+6.1%
Slow sales growth (+6.1% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-13.5%
Earnings shrinking (-13.5% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
1/2 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
10%
Weak — only 10% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
1.5%
Thin free cash flow (1.5%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
2.20
Heavy debt load (2.20)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
3.69x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.7x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
38.8x
Pricey — P/E 38.8

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+27.5
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (38.8 → 11.2)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
0.25%
Small dividend — 0.25% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
N/A
no trend
Data not available

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