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Genesis Energy Limited

GNE.NZ
51
Independent Power Producers · Utilities
Price
NZ$2.69
+0.01 (+0.37%)
Market Cap
NZ$3.52B
Exchange
New Zealand Exchange
Winston Score
51
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Dec 31, 2025
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Mixed
Dividends
Good

Share count rising — dilution

+4.8% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 1.04B (2021) → 1.09B (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Genesis Energy Limited is a New Zealand energy company that generates and sells electricity and natural gas to homes and businesses across the country. It operates a mix of power plants, including the large Huntly coal and gas station — one of New Zealand's biggest thermal power stations — as well as hydro and geothermal assets. It also sells fuel through its Kiwi brand of service stations, making it one of New Zealand's more diversified energy retailers.

Genesis makes money by generating electricity, retailing it directly to customers, and selling natural gas and fuel products. It operates entirely within New Zealand and serves hundreds of thousands of residential and business customers, giving it a stable but competitive position in a market that also includes Contact Energy and Mercury. The main risk is New Zealand's push toward 100% renewable electricity, which could reduce the long-term value of Genesis's thermal generation assets at Huntly as the country phases out fossil fuels.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-12.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+34.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong earnings growth

R&D Spend

NZ$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

43.4%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

NZ$645M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Genesis Energy Limited's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
19.9%
Thin — 19.9% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
11.5%
Modest — 11.5% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
6.1%
Weak — 6.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+1.8%
Nearly flat sales (+1.8% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+17.8%
Earnings growing fast (+17.8% YoY)

Healthy double-digit earnings growth — what compounders look like.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
196%
Turns 196% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
5.7%
Thin free cash flow (5.7%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.48
Conservative — low debt load (0.48)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
4.32x
Adequate interest coverage (4.3x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
15.2x
Fair value — P/E 15.2

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-2.7
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
5.98%
Healthy income — 5.98% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-17.2%
Dividend cut (-17.2% YoY) — warning sign

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