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GFL Environmental

GFL.TO
26
Waste Management · Industrials
Price
C$56.58
-0.25 (-0.44%)
Market Cap
C$19.75B
Exchange
Toronto Stock Exchange
Winston Score
26
Winston is worried
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Data not available
Dividends
Good

Share count rising — dilution

+4.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 361.6M (2021) → 378.7M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

GFL Environmental is a Canadian company that picks up garbage, recycles materials, and manages waste for homes, businesses, and governments across North America. It operates landfills, transfer stations, and recycling facilities, making it one of the largest waste management companies in Canada and a significant player in the United States. The company competes directly with giants like Waste Management and Republic Services.

GFL makes money by charging customers regular fees to collect and dispose of their waste, which creates steady, recurring revenue. It operates across most Canadian provinces and roughly half of U.S. states, giving it broad geographic reach. The waste industry has a natural moat because landfills are hard to build and permits are difficult to obtain, limiting competition. However, GFL carries a heavy debt load from years of acquisitions, and its low returns on invested capital suggest the business must improve profitability before that debt becomes a serious concern.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+16.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

-161.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

C$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

21.6%ownership

Rising

Insiders increasing their stake — aligned with shareholders

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

C$2.0B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

GFL Environmental is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 16%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
19.8%
Thin — 19.8% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
5.6%
Thin — 5.6% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
2.3%
Weak — 2.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-3.6%
Shrinking sales (-3.6% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
2.8%
Thin free cash flow (2.8%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.31
Elevated debt (1.31)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
0.71x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.7x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
0.16%
Small dividend — 0.16% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+10.0%
Dividend growing fast (10.0% YoY)

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