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GrainCorp Limited

GNC.AX
8
Agricultural Farm Products · Consumer Defensive
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
8
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Mar 31, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Data not available

Winston Score History

The full picture

GrainCorp is an Australian company that collects, stores, and ships grain grown by farmers across eastern Australia. It handles crops like wheat, barley, canola, and sorghum, moving them from farms to ports so they can be exported to buyers in Asia and the Middle East. GrainCorp owns one of the largest grain storage and port terminal networks in the eastern Australian grain belt.

The company earns money by charging fees to store and handle grain, and it also trades grain and processes oilseeds into edible oils and animal feed ingredients. It operates almost entirely in Australia, with some processing and marketing activity in other countries. Its network of over 150 storage sites and seven port terminals gives it a strong infrastructure advantage that is difficult for competitors to replicate. The biggest risk GrainCorp faces is weather — drought years sharply reduce the volume of grain moving through its network, which hits revenue hard since its margins are already very thin.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-5.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-91.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

8.0%ownership

Declining

Insider ownership declining — could be dilution or selling

Cash Runway

~3 months

A$318M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

GrainCorp Limited has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
0.9%
Thin — 0.9% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
-1.3%
Losing money on operations — -1.3%
Return on the money invested
ROCE
0.4%
Weak — 0.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-1.9%
Shrinking sales (-1.9% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-120.0%
Earnings shrinking (-120.0% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-0.7%
Burning cash (-0.7%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.29
Elevated debt (1.29)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
0.20x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.2x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
no trend
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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