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Green Plains

GPRE
41
Chemicals · Basic Materials
Also trades as: 0J0P.L
Price
$16.25
+0.23 (+1.44%)
Market Cap
$1.14B
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
41
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Good
Stability
Good
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Mixed

Share count rising — dilution

+44.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 46.7M (2021) → 67.5M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Green Plains Inc. is one of the largest ethanol producers in the United States. It turns corn into ethanol, a fuel that gets blended into gasoline at gas stations across the country. The company also produces distillers grains and corn oil as byproducts, which are sold as animal feed and ingredients to livestock farmers and food producers.

Green Plains earns money by selling ethanol, animal feed ingredients, and corn oil, mostly to fuel blenders, agricultural companies, and food manufacturers. It operates a network of ethanol plants primarily in the Midwest, where corn is cheaply and abundantly available. The company has been investing in high-protein animal feed technology to move beyond basic ethanol and improve its thin profit margins. The main risk is that ethanol margins are heavily tied to the spread between corn prices and fuel prices, making earnings volatile and difficult to predict.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
25.3%
Modest — 25.3% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
15.2%
Healthy — 15.2% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
9.8%
Below par — 9.8% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-23.3%
Shrinking sales (-23.3% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
85%
Modest — 85% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
3.9%
Thin free cash flow (3.9%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.56
Conservative — low debt load (0.56)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
1.80x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.8x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
9.1x
Attractive valuation — P/E 9.1

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+0.9
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
2.96%
Moderate income — 2.96% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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