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Greencore Group

GNC.L
39
Packaged Foods · Consumer Defensive
Price
266.20 GBp
+2.60 (+0.99%)
Market Cap
£2.11B
Exchange
London Stock Exchange
Winston Score
39
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Mar 31, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Good
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Weak

Share count falling — buybacks

14.4% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 532.0M (2021) → 455.5M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Greencore Group is a food manufacturing company based in Ireland that makes convenience foods — things like sandwiches, salads, sushi, and ready meals. It sells almost entirely to major UK supermarkets and retailers, including Marks & Spencer, Tesco, and Sainsbury's. Greencore is one of the largest manufacturers of pre-packaged sandwiches in the United Kingdom.

The company makes money by producing large volumes of food under contracts with retailers, who sell the products under their own store brands rather than a Greencore label. This is called "own-label" or private-label manufacturing, and it means Greencore's revenue depends heavily on keeping its supermarket contracts renewed. It operates primarily in the UK, with annual revenues of roughly £1.8 billion. Its main competitive advantage is scale and deep retailer relationships, but those same relationships create risk — losing a major contract or facing pressure on pricing from a large supermarket customer could meaningfully hurt the business.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+43.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

-223.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

£9M/ year

Rising (+16% vs prior year)

0.5% of revenue

Below sector average (2%)

R&D investment increasing — building for the future

Insider Activity

0.5%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

~9 months

£209M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Revenue accelerating

Greencore Group grew revenue 43% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
28.4%
Modest — 28.4% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
4.6%
Thin — 4.6% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
5.7%
Weak — 5.7% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+25.8%
Fast-growing sales (+25.8% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-74.0%
Earnings shrinking (-74.0% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
854%
Turns 854% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
0.6%
Thin free cash flow (0.6%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.72
Moderate — manageable debt (0.72)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
4.89x
Adequate interest coverage (4.9x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
85.3x
Expensive — P/E 85.3

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+75.6
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (85.3 → 9.8)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
0.99%
Small dividend — 0.99% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-2.2%
Dividend cut (-2.2% YoY) — warning sign

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