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Stock

Grupo Herdez, S.A.B. de C.V.

GUZOF
45
Packaged Foods · Consumer Defensive
Price
$2.90
+0.00 (+0.00%)
Market Cap
$932.7M
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
45
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Sep 22, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

§How the score breaks down

Quality
Mixed
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Good
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Strong

Share count falling — buybacks

10.3% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 358.6M (2021) → 321.8M (2025)

§Winston Score History

The full picture

Grupo Herdez is one of Mexico's largest packaged food companies. It makes and sells products like salsas, mole, canned vegetables, tuna, pasta, and other pantry staples under well-known brands including Herdez, Del Fuerte, Barilla (under license in Mexico), and McCormick (through a joint venture). Its customers range from everyday grocery shoppers to restaurants and foodservice operators across Mexico and the United States.

The company earns revenue by selling branded and private-label food products through retail stores, wholesale channels, and foodservice distributors. It operates primarily in Mexico, with a growing U.S. presence through its MegaMex Foods joint venture with Hormel, which sells brands like Wholly Guacamole and Herdez salsa. Strong brand recognition and long-standing joint venture partnerships give it a durable market position. Key growth opportunities include expanding its U.S. footprint and frozen/refrigerated categories, though currency fluctuations and rising input costs remain ongoing risks.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
39.7%
Modest — 39.7% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
-2.8%
Losing money on operations — -2.8%
Return on the money invested
ROCE
12.8%
Good — 12.8% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-23.7%
Shrinking sales (-23.7% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
>+1,000%
Earnings growing fast (>+1,000% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
2%
Weak — only 2% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-2.1%
Burning cash (-2.1%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.44
Conservative — low debt load (0.44)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
3.91x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.9x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
0.9x
Attractive valuation — P/E 0.9

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-6.8
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
3.00%
Moderate income — 3.00% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+244.3%
Dividend growing fast (244.3% YoY)

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