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Guardian Capital Group Limited

GCG-A.TO
49
Asset Management · Financial Services
Price
C$67.99
+0.02 (+0.03%)
Market Cap
C$1.67B
Exchange
Toronto Stock Exchange
Winston Score
49
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Sep 30, 2025
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Good
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Good

Share count falling — buybacks

8.6% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 27.1M (2020) → 24.8M (2024)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Guardian Capital Group is a Canadian financial services company that manages money for large institutions and individual investors. Its core business is investment management — it runs portfolios of stocks and bonds on behalf of pension funds, foundations, and wealthy clients. The company also owns a significant stake in BMO Financial Group, which is one of Canada's largest banks.

Guardian makes money through management fees charged as a percentage of the assets it oversees, meaning revenue grows when markets rise and client assets increase. It operates primarily in Canada but has some international investment management operations. The BMO shareholding gives Guardian a relatively stable base of value that is somewhat independent of its own operating performance. The main risk the business faces is fee compression, as institutional clients increasingly push for lower-cost passive investment strategies, which could pressure margins over time.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-5.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+82.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong earnings growth

R&D Spend

C$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

34.8%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

C$1.6B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Guardian Capital Group Limited's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
36.7%
Modest — 36.7% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
-0.2%
Losing money on operations — -0.2%
Return on the money invested
ROCE
1.4%
Weak — 1.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+20.2%
Fast-growing sales (+20.2% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+77.8%
Earnings growing fast (+77.8% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
45%
Weak — only 45% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
19.6%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (19.6%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.10
Conservative — low debt load (0.10)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
2.72x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.7x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
8.9x
Attractive valuation — P/E 8.9

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-24.3
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
2.29%
Moderate income — 2.29% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+5.4%
Dividend growing modestly (5.4% YoY)

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