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Guzman y Gomez

GYG.AX
48
Restaurants · Consumer Cyclical
Price
A$26.70
+2.73 (+11.39%)
Market Cap
A$2.66B
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
48
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Data not available
Dividends
Weak

Winston Score History

The full picture

Guzman y Gomez, often called GYG, is a fast-food chain that serves Mexican-inspired food like tacos, burritos, and nachos. It targets everyday consumers looking for a quick, fresh meal and positions itself between traditional fast food and sit-down restaurants — a segment sometimes called "fast casual." The company was founded in Australia and has grown into one of the most recognized Mexican food brands in the country.

GYG makes money by operating its own restaurants and by charging franchise fees and royalties to independent operators who run GYG locations. The business is concentrated mainly in Australia, with a smaller number of locations in Singapore, Japan, and the United States. Its brand recognition and loyal customer base in Australia give it a local competitive edge, but the company is still relatively small and carries a low return on invested capital. The key growth driver is expanding its restaurant network, particularly in the U.S. market, though building scale in a new country is expensive and uncertain.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+15.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

-624.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

A$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

46.4%ownership

Rising

Insiders increasing their stake — aligned with shareholders

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

A$389M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Guzman y Gomez is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 16%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Share count broadly stable

0.8% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 101.4M (2022) → 100.5M (2026)

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
31.2%
Modest — 31.2% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
20.6%
Excellent — 20.6% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
31.5%
Exceptional — 31.5% return on capital

ROIC above 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns more than 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+19.4%
Fast-growing sales (+19.4% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-289.3%
Earnings shrinking (-289.3% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
3/6 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
5.9%
Thin free cash flow (5.9%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.10
Conservative — low debt load (0.10)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
3.43x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.4x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
0.80%
Small dividend — 0.80% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
N/A
Data not available

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