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Deep Value: cash covers more than 100% of the stock price

This company holds roughly $2.9B in cash and investments — more than its entire stock-market value, based on its latest quarterly filing. You're paying very little for the actual business. Sometimes that's a genuine bargain or a takeover target, sometimes it's cheap for a reason. Not a buy signal on its own — always ask why it's this cheap.

Harley-Davidson logo

Harley-Davidson

HAR.F
29
Auto - Recreational Vehicles · Consumer Cyclical
Price
€23.96
+1.13 (+4.95%)
Market Cap
€2.52B
Exchange
Frankfurt Stock Exchange
Winston Score
29
Winston is worried
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Mixed

Share count falling — buybacks

21.8% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 155.0M (2021) → 121.3M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Harley-Davidson makes motorcycles. It is one of the most recognized motorcycle brands in the world, selling heavyweight bikes like the Sportster, Softail, and Touring models mainly to adult riders in the United States and Europe. The company also sells motorcycle parts, accessories, and branded clothing and gear.

Harley-Davidson earns money by selling motorcycles through a network of dealerships, plus additional revenue from parts, accessories, and licensing its famous logo on merchandise. It also runs a financial services arm that offers loans and insurance to customers buying its bikes. The company operates globally but depends heavily on the U.S. market for most of its sales. Its main competitive advantage is brand loyalty — many Harley riders identify strongly with the brand — but the company faces real pressure from an aging core customer base, rising competition from cheaper rivals, and weak demand that has pushed margins and returns on capital to low levels in recent fiscal periods.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
31.7%
Modest — 31.7% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
6.8%
Modest — 6.8% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
4.1%
Weak — 4.1% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-5.2%
Shrinking sales (-5.2% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-14.4%
Earnings shrinking (-14.4% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
1/4 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
-0%
Weak — only -0% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-3.1%
Burning cash (-3.1%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.72
Moderate — manageable debt (0.72)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
8.74x
Comfortably covers interest (8.7x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
14.3x
Attractive valuation — P/E 14.3

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-45.8
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
2.90%
Moderate income — 2.90% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-2.7%
Dividend cut (-2.7% YoY) — warning sign

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