WinstonWınston
Back
HelloFresh SE logo

HelloFresh SE

HFG.DE
27
Restaurants · Consumer Cyclical
Price
€2.83
-0.05 (-1.60%)
Market Cap
€404.9M
Exchange
Frankfurt Stock Exchange
Winston Score
27
Winston is worried
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Data not available

Share count falling — buybacks

9.9% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 173.6M (2021) → 156.4M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

HelloFresh is a meal kit company that ships boxes of pre-measured ingredients and recipes directly to customers' homes. Subscribers choose meals each week, and HelloFresh handles the shopping and portioning so customers can cook without planning or grocery runs. It is one of the largest meal kit companies in the world and also owns the Green Chef and EveryPlate brands.

The company makes money through weekly subscription boxes, charging customers per serving based on the plan they choose. HelloFresh operates across North America, Europe, and Australia, generating several billion dollars in annual revenue. Its main competitive advantage is its large fulfillment network and purchasing scale, which are hard for smaller rivals to match. However, the business faces persistent pressure from high customer churn, rising food and logistics costs, and growing competition from grocery delivery services — all of which help explain its thin operating margin and negative returns on invested capital.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-8.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-76.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

€0/ year

Declining (-100% vs prior year)

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

18.3%ownership

Rising

Insiders increasing their stake — aligned with shareholders

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

€268M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

HelloFresh SE's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
55.1%
Premium pricing power — 55.1% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
1.6%
Thin — 1.6% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
0.1%
Weak — 0.1% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-12.5%
Shrinking sales (-12.5% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
3/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
2.1%
Thin free cash flow (2.1%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.02
Elevated debt (1.02)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
0.02x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.0x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
🔒 See full fundamentals and if they are improving or declining — click here for your free trial now.
Start free trial