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Herc Holdings

HRI
46
Rental & Leasing Services · Industrials
Also trades as: 0J4L.L
Price
$161.90
+0.24 (+0.15%)
Market Cap
$5.41B
Winston Score
46
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Weak

Share count rising — dilution

+3.3% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 30.4M (2021) → 31.4M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Herc Holdings rents heavy equipment to construction companies, industrial facilities, and government projects across North America. Its fleet includes cranes, forklifts, aerial work platforms, earthmoving machines, and general tools. The company operates under the Herc Rentals brand and is one of the largest equipment rental companies in the United States.

Herc makes money by charging customers daily, weekly, or monthly rental fees instead of selling equipment outright. This model means customers avoid the high upfront cost of buying machines they may only need temporarily. The company operates roughly 400 branches across the U.S. and Canada, generating around $3 billion in annual revenue. Its competitive position relies on fleet size, branch density, and long-term relationships with large contractors. The main risk is that rental demand is closely tied to construction activity and industrial spending, both of which slow sharply during economic downturns, which could pressure utilization rates and pricing power.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+20.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+148.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

13.2%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

~1 months

$43M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

Herc Holdings has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
31.3%
Modest — 31.3% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
12.0%
Modest — 12.0% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
7.2%
Weak — 7.2% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+28.5%
Fast-growing sales (+28.5% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+67.0%
Earnings growing fast (+67.0% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
3/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
1727%
Turns 1727% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
0.2%
Thin free cash flow (0.2%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
4.19
Heavy debt load (4.19)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
1.34x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.3x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
110.1x
Expensive — P/E 110.1

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+93.7
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (110.1 → 16.5)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
1.67%
Small dividend — 1.67% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+2.6%
Dividend flat

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