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Hilton Grand Vacations

HGV
49
Travel Lodging · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$45.11
+0.29 (+0.65%)
Market Cap
$3.54B
Winston Score
49
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Strong

Share count falling — buybacks

9.5% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 101.1M (2021) → 91.5M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Hilton Grand Vacations sells vacation ownership, also known as timeshares. Customers buy the right to use resort properties for a set number of nights each year, typically at beach or mountain destinations across the United States, Hawaii, Japan, and Europe. The company operates under the Hilton brand name and is one of the largest timeshare companies in the country.

The company makes money in two main ways: selling timeshare packages upfront and collecting ongoing fees from owners for maintenance and club membership. It also earns income from financing purchases, since many buyers take out loans directly through the company. Hilton Grand Vacations generates roughly $3.5 billion in annual revenue and benefits from a large base of existing owners who pay recurring fees. The main risk is that timeshare sales slow sharply during economic downturns, as consumers pull back on big discretionary purchases, and the company carries a meaningful debt load from its 2021 acquisition of Diamond Resorts.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+25.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

-42.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

18.1%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$292M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Hilton Grand Vacations grew revenue 25% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
44.3%
Healthy — 44.3% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
9.7%
Modest — 9.7% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
7.2%
Weak — 7.2% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+10.0%
Steady sales growth (+10.0% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+19.4%
Earnings growing fast (+19.4% YoY)

Healthy double-digit earnings growth — what compounders look like.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
249%
Turns 249% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
7.5%
Modest free cash flow (7.5%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
7.05
Heavy debt load (7.05)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
0.84x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.8x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
21.0x
Growth-priced — P/E 21.0

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+11.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (21.0 → 9.7)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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